A bird’s eye view of Windsor: State demographer says growth will start to slow | MyWindsorNow.com

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A bird’s eye view of Windsor: State demographer says growth will start to slow

Colorado growth

According to the State Demographer’s Office website, the population in Windsor has increased almost four times as much as the population in 1990:

» Windsor population in 2010: 18,771

» Windsor population in 2015: 23,454

» Windsor population in 2000: 10,256

» Windsor population in 1995: 6,288

» Windsor population in 1990: 5,062

For more information about Colorado’s population, visit the State Demography Office website at demography.dola.colorado.gov.

Although growth is expected to continue in Windsor, the town and Colorado are expected to see a decline in growth in the coming years.

State Demographer Elizabeth Garner appeared by phone at Thursday's Chamber Broker Event at Pelican Lakes Golf Club. The event drew around 50 business representatives and elected officials to talk about the development Windsor has seen in recent years — and likely will continue to see, but at a slowing rate.

Garner said growth across the state puts Colorado at the seventh-fastest growing state in the U.S., though it was the second-fastest growing in the U.S. this past year.

"What's important to know is that last year we were the second-fastest growing state in the U.S. at 1.9 percent, so even the state is slowing down," she said.

Weld County was the fastest growing urban area in the state in 2015-16, at 3.9 percent, but Garner said that pace likely won't continue.

"So even though we feel all of this growth right now, know that it is really forecast to start slowing," she said.

Windsor has seen growth at high speed in the past 25 years. From 1990-2015, Garner said, Windsor's population grew from about 5,000 to 24,000.

"That's pretty amazing growth," she said.

The age of those migrating to the state is important for the town to think about, Garner said, because different age groups may have their own housing and other service needs.

In Weld County, Garner said, 22- to 37-year-olds are the largest group migrating to the county.

"What we call the bread and butter net migrants," she said.

Household data from 2000-2010 also shows a growth in the number of children in the town, which Garner said could have implications for the schools. Because of the growth in the number of families in Windsor, the Windsor-Severance Re-4 School District expects it soon will need more buildings.

Weld is the second-youngest county in the state. But by 2030, Colorado's population of 65-plus residents will increase by 77 percent because of aging Baby Boomers, Garner said.

"You've got to be aware, getting ready for the aging of the population in your community," she said.

Mayor Kristie Melendez said Windsor has been preparing for the aging population, which is part of the platform she ran on.

"Diversification in housing, affordable housing and maybe some senior housing because we understand that the population is aging and we need to find affordable housing for them," she said.

The Windsor Housing Authority, Melendez added, is seeking a property for a senior housing development phase of some kind.

Another factor in the population forecasting, Garner said, is the types of jobs available in the area. Weld County, she said, has a wide variety of jobs, which is one reason why Weld has seen steady growth.

Because the labor force is aging, and due to age distribution factors, new jobs are starting to slow in Colorado.

"What we're seeing is a slowing of new jobs and net migration, which actually follows what's happening nationally," she said.